Abstract: Crude oil, also known as petroleum, is a fossil fuel formed from ancient organic materials like plankton and algae. It's a complex mixture of hydrocarbons that's vital for industries such as transportation and manufacturing. Crude oil is measured in barrels, with one barrel equaling 42 US gallons.
Several types of crude oil exist, each with distinct characteristics:
The global oil market is influenced by economic growth, geopolitical relations, and technological advancements. Demand slowed in Q4 2023 but is expected to grow by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024. Supply is set to rise, surpassing demand. Brent crude oil prices averaged $78 per barrel in December 2023, with forecasts suggesting an average of $81/b in December 2024.
As of the latest data, Brent Crude is at $86.47, up by 0.61%. WTI is at $81.70, up by 0.53%. Dubai Crude and the OPEC Basket are stable at $84.62 and $86.52, respectively. Canadian Crude has dropped to $53.57, down by 2.24%.
Crude oil prices are influenced by supply and demand, geopolitical events, economic indicators, and environmental regulations. High global economic growth increases demand, while geopolitical conflicts can restrict supply. Lower interest rates and high consumer confidence can stimulate the economy and oil demand.
Investors can engage with crude oil through futures contracts or Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) like the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF (UCO), which aims to double the daily returns of the underlying index.
Short-term, oil prices are expected to rise slightly, while long-term forecasts predict a decline due to the shift towards renewable energy and increased energy efficiency.